Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 507.490445 539.424454 572.591263 609.667957 650.027941 692.706764 741.349383
2025-12-28 463.449075 506.975066 553.960196 608.649812 670.810097 739.560406 821.759576
2026-01-04 431.528328 482.690996 539.612133 608.034180 688.577907 781.035702 896.152940
2026-01-11 408.582200 465.606079 530.679475 611.080509 708.648086 824.383209 973.832450
2026-01-18 388.163838 449.354856 520.709315 610.985083 723.487061 860.878753 1044.227694
2026-01-25 373.531914 438.586168 515.944238 615.962092 743.713246 904.051821 1124.848112
2026-02-01 361.278696 429.654019 512.416048 621.568183 764.203954 947.873899 1208.474625
2026-02-08 350.974044 422.322609 510.107172 628.044524 785.503588 993.270845 1296.695798
2026-02-15 339.388900 412.624982 504.045396 628.912260 798.879164 1028.195052 1372.140226
2026-02-22 328.728113 403.482894 498.054990 629.227633 811.051541 1061.597553 1447.139676
2026-03-01 320.105136 396.493526 494.381959 632.190395 826.631436 1100.198324 1532.074008
2026-03-08 310.599841 387.871592 488.042298 630.976592 835.940773 1129.894088 1605.151610
2026-03-15 302.368919 380.604643 483.175730 631.486934 847.599134 1163.536534 1686.802785
2026-03-22 294.409226 373.350062 477.947221 631.091987 857.677403 1195.072895 1767.110393
2026-03-29 287.019268 366.556476 473.011872 630.756724 867.608051 1226.655976 1849.581657
2026-04-05 281.355394 361.886077 470.774501 634.101338 883.053548 1267.475322 1950.636992
2026-04-12 274.940739 355.922736 466.440496 634.068117 893.142758 1300.110293 2039.834487
2026-04-19 270.585251 352.657045 465.756797 639.329986 911.575576 1347.158825 2158.483013
2026-04-26 266.670281 349.850373 465.572980 645.237547 931.178781 1397.142030 2286.748165
2026-05-03 263.232071 347.580172 466.032310 652.053409 952.449505 1451.079406 2427.271179
2026-05-10 258.260103 342.932414 462.812140 652.969012 963.996755 1488.782625 2539.580556
2026-05-17 253.372303 338.245680 459.349008 653.302108 974.482664 1525.087510 2652.271265
2026-05-24 249.483175 334.885819 457.723679 656.418300 989.702534 1570.652294 2788.161903